I am still long on the USD/JPY from last week. The Yen did gain a little ground on the dollar but since it's still above 117.00 I'm still convinced that my target will get hit at 117.71. I am still holding until I see anything fishy. Speaking of Japan, it looks like the US National Basketball team is causing havoc over there as they smothered Australia in the semifinals two nights ago. Finally! A US Basketball team that wins!
And I know you're probably tired of hearing this but I still don't see any convincing setups on my charts. Frankly, it's boring right now. Everything I see is still in the gray zone and until I get a convincing signal, I am not going to force anything.
As far as tomorrow goes, we could see some movement with both the German Consumer Confidence coming out at 2:00 am EST and the US Consumer Confidence coming out at 10:00 am EST. Remember, we're looking for signs that the ECB will tighten rates and/or the Fed will pause their rate hikes. It's all about the rate differentials so we want to see a convincing fundamental sign that will hint at a widening rate between the EUR/USD. Until then I think we will still see the 2700-2900 range movement. Yawn... FOMC minutes also come out tomorrow at 2:00 pm EST so watch out for that. I usually don't trade after 12 noon anyways, so I probably won't even be looking at my charts. Hopefully tomorrow I will have something more exciting to write about.
Happy trading everyone!
-BP
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